XRP price has struggled to recover in recent days, raising concerns about a potential repeat of the 2021-2022 bear market.
While weakness persists, a recent development involving Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse could shift sentiment.
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XRP May Not Imitate The Past
Brad Garlinghouse has joined the Commodity Futures Trading Commission鈥檚 Innovation Advisory Committee. This appointment marks a significant milestone for Ripple and the broader XRP ecosystem. The same regulatory environment that challenged Ripple for nearly five years is now seeking industry input.
For XRP supporters, this signals growing regulatory normalization. Engagement with the CFTC may enhance Ripple鈥檚 credibility in US policy discussions. Constructive dialogue could ease uncertainty and reduce the long-term legal overhang that previously weighed on the XRP price.
Recently realized profit-and-loss data show a spike in sales. Some observers compare this activity to early signals seen before the 2022 bear market. However, in 2022, sustained distribution lasted nearly four months. Current selling lacks that duration and intensity, reducing the probability of a prolonged downturn for XRP.
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Selling Exists, But It鈥檚 Not a Concern
Exchange balance data suggests selling pressure remains measured. Roughly 100 million XRP moved to exchanges over the past 10 days, valued at $130 million. While notable, the scale does not indicate widespread panic.
In November 2025, 130 million XRP was sold within 72 hours. That episode reflected sharper urgency among holders. Compared to that event, current flows appear controlled and less aggressive.
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Moderate selling combined with positive regulatory developments could stabilize sentiment. If distribution does not accelerate, XRP may absorb supply without severe downside extension. Market participants are watching closely for confirmation through on-chain metrics.
XRP Has Room To Recover
The liquidation heatmap shows limited immediate obstacles to recovery. XRP faces its next major resistance between $1.78 and $1.80. This zone represents a potential profit-taking area rather than an immediate structural ceiling.
Absence of dense liquidation clusters below current levels reduces short-term risk of cascading sell-offs. If momentum improves, XRP has room to advance before encountering significant overhead supply. That technical flexibility supports a cautiously constructive outlook.
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XRP Price Needs To Bounce Back
XRP trades at $1.35 and is slipping below the $1.36 support level. The next key support lies near $1.27, aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Despite recent weakness, broader factors suggest a balanced risk profile.
Garlinghouse鈥檚 CFTC appointment may improve investor confidence. If XRP reclaims $1.51, a recovery rally could unfold. Sustained strength above that threshold may drive price toward the supply zone above $1.76.
However, a breakdown below $1.27 would shift momentum decisively. Panic selling could intensify if support fails. A drop toward $1.11 would invalidate the bullish thesis and extend the current corrective phase.
